Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record

AAA · P · Minnesota Twins

Mick Abel

B/T R/R · 6' 5" · 190 lb · born Portland, OR, USA · age 25 · draft 2020 rd 1 · played P 6 · MLB debut 2025-05-18

Injured 60-Day · Right elbow inflammation. (roster status, as of )

93 batters faced scored this season His season card →

INDEXThe Index — tracked, not flagged

The card rack

FlagshipMick Abel [Gold Border] #US127 · 2025 Topps Update · 54 recent sales 7N 0.2%

$3.24Raw$15.03PSA 9$43.79PSA 10$57.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 45 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-08-28 · paid links

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The rookieMick Abel #90A-MA · 2025 Topps Update 1990 Autograph · 72 recent sales 7N 1.5%

$4.85Raw$10.50PSA 9$49.44PSA 10$64.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 43 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-08-28 · paid links

See all on eBay →

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases. · Flagship = his most-traded card (the market’s reference); the rookie = the top card of his first card year. As of August 28, 2026 · trend is FVR's own nightly archive · prices via SportsCardsPro · what these terms mean

Scout’s note

Portland's own first-rounder from 2020 — Mick Abel has the frame at 6' 5", and four appearances into his Twins tenure he carries a 3.98 ERA across 20.1 innings. The board grade is held back on purpose: our stuff model is stability-tested but not outcome-validated, so no big-league arm gets flagged off it. What did clear the bar is the ERA-FIP luck gap — we file arm regression calls by hand from it, and his is on the desk.

We wrote about Abel hereThe Overnight: 7.0 IP, 0 ER, 10 K, 0 BB (April 14, 2026) · 6.0 IP, 0 ER, 6 K, 3 BB (April 9, 2026)

The engine's view

The read: Abel is in the Index ungraded, on purpose: our stuff model is stability-tested but not outcome-validated, so no big-league arm gets a board flag from it — not even one of the best seasons in the sport. (Calls are another matter: the ERA-FIP luck gap did clear the bar, and we file arm regression calls by hand from it.) The page is here because the player matters; the board grade waits for the science.

A second set of books

The same contract, read by MLB Spreadsheets (Ethan Hullihen), as of . We keep two sources on this because one source cannot check itself.

Tax AAV
$0.78M
Term
1 yr
His class
Pre-Arb

What the sheet prices each season at

Season202620272028202920302031
SalaryMinimumMinimumMinimumArb 1Arb 2Arb 3

A base salary under his own reading, and never subtracted from the cash figure above: a signing bonus lands in one and not the other, so the two disagree on most men without either being wrong. And the sheet does not mark which future seasons are GUARANTEED — a club option and a projected arbitration award are both just a number here, so read past the end of the deal as his forecast rather than as money owed.

Two sources, read a month apart, put this guarantee at the same dollar. That is the check, and it passed.

The tax AAV above is his number under the CBA’s own rulebook, not the average we work out from Cot’s total. On a contract with deferred money the two come apart on purpose — and neither is subtracted from the other.

Collect Mick Abel

If the signal is right, the cardboard usually finds out later. Current listings:

Mick Abel cards on eBay →

High-end listings ($75+) →

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases.

Not financial advice. We take positions only after publication — never before. Misses stay on the record.

Umpire favor

-1.1 net runs over 4 graded gamesthe zone cost him more than it gave, on balance.

Biggest swings: -0.5 · -0.4

→ all umpire grades

The line

YearTeamLvlGIPW–LSVERASOWHIP
2021Clearwater ThreshersA1444.21304.43661.21
2022Jersey Shore BlueClawsA+1885.17804.011031.32
2022Reading Fightin PhilsAA523.01303.52271.35
2023Reading Fightin PhilsAA22108.25504.141261.24
2023Lehigh Valley IronPigsAAA14.20103.8661.71
2024Lehigh Valley IronPigsAAA24108.231206.461171.81
2025Lehigh Valley IronPigsAAA1374.07202.31811.16
2025St. Paul SaintsAAA524.10001.85330.95
2025TotalAAA1898.17202.201141.11
2025Philadelphia PhilliesMLB625.02205.04211.36
2025Minnesota TwinsMLB414.01208.36181.79
2025TotalMLB1039.03406.23391.51
2026St. Paul SaintsAAA28.01001.13100.75
2026Minnesota TwinsMLB420.11203.98231.57
MLB CAREER1459.14605.46621.53

Bio & season lines: MLB StatsAPI · refreshed nightly · abbreviations →