Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-03-31

BOS @ HOU

Home plate: Mark Wegner

“Called a fair game and let the players decide it.”

A
Umpire Grade
95.3% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, HOU
1
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Mark Wegner called the 148 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 141 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Yainer Diaz — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Ceddanne Rafaela — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.39▲8 · 2-2 ball called strike
    Roman Anthony vs Cody Bolton
  2. 2+0.28▼5 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Carlos Correa vs Brayan Bello
  3. 3+0.23▲8 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Trevor Story vs Cody Bolton

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Yainer Diaz — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Ceddanne Rafaela — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.