Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-03-31

NYY @ SEA

Home plate: Alfonso Márquez

The zone kept to itself — the hitters said thanks.

B-
Umpire Grade
92.0% accurate
0.6
Run Favor
runs, SEA
3
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Alfonso Márquez called the 137 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 126 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Trent Grisham — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Jazz Chisholm Jr. — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Max Fried — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Cal Raleigh — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Leo Rivas — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.211 · 3-0 strike called ball
    Julio Rodríguez vs Max Fried
  2. 2+0.135 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Victor Robles vs Max Fried
  3. 3-0.137 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Julio Rodríguez vs Max Fried

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Trent Grisham — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Jazz Chisholm Jr. — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Max Fried — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Cal Raleigh — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Leo Rivas — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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