Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-08

SD @ PIT

Home plate: Nick Mahrley

Down the middle. Both dugouts had the same zone.

A
Umpire Grade
96.3% accurate
0.6
Run Favor
runs, PIT
3
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Nick Mahrley called the 135 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 130 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Luis Campusano — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Ramón Laureano — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Luis Campusano — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Joey Bart — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.233 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Ryan O'Hearn vs Michael King
  2. 2+0.235 · 0-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Oneil Cruz vs Michael King
  3. 3+0.132 · 1-0 strike called ball
    Spencer Horwitz vs Michael King

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Luis Campusano — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Ramón Laureano — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Luis Campusano — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Joey Bart — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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