Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-16

LAA @ NYY

Home plate: Will Little

A few too many trips to the challenge cart.

B+
Umpire Grade
93.6% accurate
1.2
Run Favor
runs, NYY
5
ABS Overturns
of 8 reviewed

What this shows — how Will Little called the 187 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 175 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Zach Neto — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Travis d'Arnaud — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Jazz Chisholm Jr. — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Trent Grisham — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Oswald Peraza — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Nolan Schanuel — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6Challenge 7: Zach Neto — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).7Challenge 8: Travis d'Arnaud — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).8
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.697 · 3-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Oswald Peraza vs Angel Chivilli
  2. 2+0.232 · 0-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Ben Rice vs Brent Suter
  3. 3+0.208 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Josh Lowe vs Ryan Yarbrough

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

8 pitches went to the robots · 5 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Zach Neto — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Travis d'Arnaud — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Jazz Chisholm Jr. — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Trent Grisham — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Oswald Peraza — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  6. 6Nolan Schanuel — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  7. 7Zach Neto — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  8. 8Travis d'Arnaud — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 7 of 8 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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