Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-17

SF @ WSH

Home plate: Jen Pawol

Pitchers found a little extra real estate.

C
Umpire Grade
89.8% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, WSH
2
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Jen Pawol called the 166 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 149 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Daniel Susac — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Daniel Susac — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Brady House — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Keibert Ruiz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.288 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Drew Gilbert vs PJ Poulin
  2. 2-0.207 · 2-1 ball called strike· challenged
    Brady House vs Matt Gage
  3. 3-0.197 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Heliot Ramos vs Paxton Schultz

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Daniel Susac — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Daniel Susac — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Brady House — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Keibert Ruiz — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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