Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-22

STL @ MIA

Home plate: Jacob Metz

A busy night for the machines in the truck.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.2% accurate
0.6
Run Favor
runs, STL
5
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Jacob Metz called the 138 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 130 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Jakob Marsee — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Agustín Ramírez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Thomas Saggese — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Ramón Urías — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Agustín Ramírez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Agustín Ramírez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.205 · 2-1 strike called ball· challenged
    José Fermín vs Janson Junk
  2. 2+0.209 · 2-1 strike called ball· challenged
    Nathan Church vs Pete Fairbanks
  3. 3+0.131 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Jakob Marsee vs Kyle Leahy

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 5 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Jakob Marsee — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Agustín Ramírez — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Thomas Saggese — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Ramón Urías — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Agustín Ramírez — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  6. 6Agustín Ramírez — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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