Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-27

TB @ CLE

Home plate: Jacob Metz

The Automated Ball-Strike System put in some overtime here.

C
Umpire Grade
89.8% accurate
1.3
Run Favor
runs, TB
7
ABS Overturns
of 9 reviewed

What this shows — how Jacob Metz called the 157 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 141 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Austin Hedges — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Junior Caminero — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Austin Hedges — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: David Fry — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Austin Hedges — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Austin Hedges — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6Challenge 7: Nick Fortes — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).7Challenge 8: Nick Fortes — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).8Challenge 9: Hunter Feduccia — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).9
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.696 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Junior Caminero vs Parker Messick
  2. 2-0.305 · 3-1 ball called strike
    David Fry vs Steven Matz
  3. 3+0.281 · 1-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Jonathan Aranda vs Parker Messick

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

9 pitches went to the robots · 7 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Austin Hedges — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Junior Caminero — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Austin Hedges — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4David Fry — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Austin Hedges — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  6. 6Austin Hedges — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  7. 7Nick Fortes — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  8. 8Nick Fortes — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  9. 9Hunter Feduccia — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 8 of 9 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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