Parker Messick

The card rack

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FlagshipParker Messick #242 · 2026 Topps Heritage · 135 recent sales 7N ▼0.1%

$3.00Raw$14.63PSA 9$43.05PSA 10$56.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 60 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-10-12 · paid links

$2.12Ungraded$2.69Ungraded$2.98Ungraded

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The rookieParker Messick #277 · 2026 Topps Finest · 184 recent sales 7N ▲0.8%

$2.51Raw$13.98PSA 9$41.59PSA 10$54.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 60 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-10-12 · paid links

$1.99Ungraded$3.00Ungraded$3.25Ungraded

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Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases. · Flagship = his most-traded card (the market’s reference); the rookie = the top card of his first card year. As of October 12, 2026 · trend is FVR's own nightly archive · prices via SportsCardsPro · what these terms mean

Scout’s note

Parker Messick came out of Plant City, Florida, a second-round pick in 2022, and at 25 he's sixth in the big leagues with a 2.56 ERA across 186.1 innings for Cleveland. Our stuff model isn't outcome-validated yet, so the board keeps him ungraded on purpose — no arm gets a flag from a system that hasn't cleared the science. What did clear the bar is the ERA-FIP luck gap, which means we're filing a regression call by hand. The page is here because a 4.9-WAR season matters; the grade waits.

Note written Oct 1 · FVR scout (GLM-5.2)

Current signals

The read: Messick is in the Index ungraded, on purpose: our stuff model is stability-tested but not outcome-validated, so no big-league arm gets a board flag from it — not even one of the best seasons in the sport. (Calls are another matter: the ERA-FIP luck gap did clear the bar, and we file arm regression calls by hand from it.) The page is here because the player matters; the board grade waits for the science.

WAR (season · MLB calc)

4.9

A market fact, not an engine read: what a club decided about him, on the season before this one. Figures from Cot’s, as of January 17, 2025.

2026 salary

—

Tax hit

—

Service time

1 yr 40 d

Options left

3 / 3

Cash and the tax hit are two different rulebooks and are never subtracted from one another — see the payroll board for his club, Cleveland Guardians.

A second set of books

The same contract, read by MLB Spreadsheets (Ethan Hullihen), as of September 17, 2026. We keep two sources on this because one source cannot check itself.

Tax AAV

$0.79M

Guaranteed

$0.79M

Term

1 yr

His class

Pre-Arb

The tax AAV above is his number under the CBA’s own rulebook, not the average we work out from Cot’s total. On a contract with deferred money the two come apart on purpose — and neither is subtracted from the other.

The Wire

▲ On the field: Gavin Williams, Jordan Hicks and Parker Messick supply the filthiest pitches from the prior day.

X chatter, trailing 2 days · as of 2026-10-11 · newest post 2026-10-09 · summarized by Grok (xAI) · how this works →

Collect Parker Messick

If the signal is right, the cardboard usually finds out later. Current listings:

High-end listings ($75+) →

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Not financial advice. We take positions only after publication — never before. Misses stay on the record.

The Bureau on Parker Messick

The scouting press, in their own words