Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-28

HOU @ BAL

Home plate: Jordan Baker

“Pitchers earned every strike the hard way.”

C+
Umpire Grade
90.9% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, BAL
2
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Jordan Baker called the 143 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 130 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Yainer Diaz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Jose Altuve — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Adley Rutschman — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Yainer Diaz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.28▼7 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Pete Alonso vs Ryan Weiss
  2. 2-0.21▼5 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Taylor Ward vs Ryan Weiss
  3. 3-0.20▲9 · 2-1 ball called strike
    Isaac Paredes vs Ryan Helsley

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Yainer Diaz — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Jose Altuve — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Adley Rutschman — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Yainer Diaz — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.