Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-29

LAA @ CWS

Home plate: Vic Carapazza

A busy night for the machines in the truck.

C
Umpire Grade
89.5% accurate
1.5
Run Favor
runs, CWS
6
ABS Overturns
of 9 reviewed

What this shows — how Vic Carapazza called the 171 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 153 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Travis d'Arnaud — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Miguel Vargas — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Travis d'Arnaud — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Edgar Quero — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Edgar Quero — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Zach Neto — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6Challenge 7: Mike Trout — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).7Challenge 8: Edgar Quero — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).8Challenge 9: Nolan Schanuel — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).9
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.396 · 2-2 ball called strike
    Mike Trout vs Erick Fedde
  2. 2+0.281 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Miguel Vargas vs Yusei Kikuchi
  3. 3-0.285 · 1-2 ball called strike
    Zach Neto vs Erick Fedde

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

9 pitches went to the robots · 6 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Travis d'Arnaud — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Miguel Vargas — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Travis d'Arnaud — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Edgar Quero — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Edgar Quero — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  6. 6Zach Neto — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  7. 7Mike Trout — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  8. 8Edgar Quero — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  9. 9Nolan Schanuel — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 9 of 9 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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