Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-02

CIN @ PIT

Home plate: Willie Traynor

“The grade leaned — the ledger says which way.”

D
Umpire Grade
88.1% accurate
1.3
Run Favor
runs, PIT
3
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Willie Traynor called the 201 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 177 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Bryan Reynolds — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.39▼2 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Marcell Ozuna vs Connor Phillips
  2. 2+0.21▼2 · 3-0 strike called ball
    Ryan O'Hearn vs Rhett Lowder
  3. 3+0.20▲2 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Elly De La Cruz vs Carmen Mlodzinski

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 0 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Tyler Stephenson — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Bryan Reynolds — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Tyler Stephenson — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 0 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.