Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-05

ATL @ SEA

Home plate: Will Little

Solid and unspectacular — exactly what the job asks.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.8% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, ATL
1
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Will Little called the 134 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 127 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Drake Baldwin — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Mitch Garver — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Ozzie Albies — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.203 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Leo Rivas vs Bryce Elder
  2. 2+0.139 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Michael Harris II vs Andrés Muñoz
  3. 3+0.132 · 1-0 strike called ball· challenged
    Randy Arozarena vs Bryce Elder

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Drake Baldwin — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Mitch Garver — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Ozzie Albies — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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