Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-08

NYM @ AZ

Home plate: Ryan Wills

A small strike zone, generously enforced for the offense.

C+
Umpire Grade
90.3% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, NYM
2
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Ryan Wills called the 134 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 121 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Gabriel Moreno — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Luis Torrens — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Gabriel Moreno — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Luis Torrens — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Jorge Barrosa — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.695 · 3-2 strike called ball
    Gabriel Moreno vs Nolan McLean
  2. 2-0.395 · 2-2 ball called strike
    Jose Fernandez vs Nolan McLean
  3. 3+0.135 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Jorge Barrosa vs Nolan McLean

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Gabriel Moreno — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Luis Torrens — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Gabriel Moreno — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Luis Torrens — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Jorge Barrosa — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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