Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-11

SF @ LAD

Home plate: Ryan Blakney

You had to throw it down Broadway to get the call.

C+
Umpire Grade
90.5% accurate
0.6
Run Favor
runs, SF
4
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Ryan Blakney called the 168 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 152 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Matt Chapman — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Teoscar Hernández — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Will Smith — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Miguel Rojas — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Will Smith — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.693 · 3-2 strike called ball
    Jesus Rodriguez vs Roki Sasaki
  2. 2+0.283 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Mookie Betts vs Trevor McDonald
  3. 3-0.192 · 2-0 ball called strike· challenged
    Matt Chapman vs Roki Sasaki

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Matt Chapman — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Teoscar Hernández — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Will Smith — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Miguel Rojas — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Will Smith — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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