Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Support the paperGet the Digest
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-13

NYY @ BAL

Home plate: Edwin Moscoso

“Textbook top to bottom — a quiet masterclass.”

A
Umpire Grade
95.8% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, NYY
2
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Edwin Moscoso called the 165 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 158 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: J.C. Escarra — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: J.C. Escarra — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: J.C. Escarra — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Leody Taveras — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.13▼8 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Leody Taveras vs Ryan Yarbrough
  2. 2-0.13▲9 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Ben Rice vs Yennier Cano
  3. 3+0.10▲6 · 0-1 strike called ball
    Ben Rice vs Kyle Bradish

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1J.C. Escarra — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2J.C. Escarra — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3J.C. Escarra — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Leody Taveras — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.