Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-13

WSH @ CIN

Home plate: Dexter Kelley

“Hawkeye clocked in early and stayed late.”

A
Umpire Grade
95.1% accurate
1.8
Run Favor
runs, CIN
5
ABS Overturns
of 7 reviewed

What this shows — how Dexter Kelley called the 204 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 194 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Spencer Steer — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Keibert Ruiz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).6Challenge 7: Keibert Ruiz — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).7
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.69▼1 · 3-2 strike called ball
    Spencer Steer vs Jake Irvin
  2. 2+0.28▼5 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Spencer Steer vs Mitchell Parker
  3. 3+0.23▼1 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Nathaniel Lowe vs Jake Irvin

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

7 pitches went to the robots · 5 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Spencer Steer — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Tyler Stephenson — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Keibert Ruiz — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Tyler Stephenson — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Tyler Stephenson — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  6. 6Tyler Stephenson — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  7. 7Keibert Ruiz — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 7 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.