Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-14

SEA @ HOU

Home plate: Willie Traynor

The players kept asking for a second opinion — and kept getting one.

C
Umpire Grade
89.8% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, SEA
7
ABS Overturns
of 10 reviewed

What this shows — how Willie Traynor called the 176 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 158 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Isaac Paredes — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Mitch Garver — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Cam Smith — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Mitch Garver — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: César Salazar — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: César Salazar — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6Challenge 7: Zach Cole — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).7Challenge 8: Jose Altuve — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).8Challenge 9: Dominic Canzone — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).9Challenge 10: J.P. Crawford — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).10
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.697 · 3-2 ball called strike· challenged
    César Salazar vs Nick Davila
  2. 2+0.394 · 2-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Brice Matthews vs Luis Castillo
  3. 3-0.397 · 2-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Jose Altuve vs Nick Davila

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

10 pitches went to the robots · 7 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Isaac Paredes — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Mitch Garver — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Cam Smith — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Mitch Garver — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5César Salazar — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  6. 6César Salazar — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  7. 7Zach Cole — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  8. 8Jose Altuve — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  9. 9Dominic Canzone — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  10. 10J.P. Crawford — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 9 of 10 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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