Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record

MLB · CF · Houston Astros

Brice Matthews

B/T R/R · 5' 10" · 190 lb · born Houston, TX, USA · age 24 · draft 2023 rd 1 · played CF 37, LF 37, 2B 22, 3B 4 · MLB debut 2025-07-11

Injured 60-Day · Left knee sprain. (roster status, as of )

226 plate appearances scored this season His season card →

Scout’s note

Brice Matthews is a Houston-born first-round pick from the 2023 draft who reached the Astros this summer. Through 95 games he is hitting .192 with a .597 OPS, 11 home runs, and 91 strikeouts — a rough introduction to the league.

Note written · FVR scout (GLM-5.2)

Where he stands

through

Against the 382 qualified major-league hitters — 100+ balls in play this season, the same field the boards are chosen out of. Right is better on every row.

  1. EV95107.270
  2. Deserved (xVal)0.34529
  3. Got (aVal)0.34137
  4. Luck gap (park-adjusted)flipped-0.00045

today · 30 days ago, against the 341 men who qualified then · the tick is the midpoint · the number at the right is the percentile, the number beside it the measurement itself.

A second set of books

The same contract, read by MLB Spreadsheets (Ethan Hullihen), as of . We keep two sources on this because one source cannot check itself.

Tax AAV
$0.78M
Term
1 yr
His class
Pre-Arb

What the sheet prices each season at

Season202620272028202920302031
SalaryMinimumMinimumMinimumArb 1Arb 2Arb 3

A base salary under his own reading, and never subtracted from the cash figure above: a signing bonus lands in one and not the other, so the two disagree on most men without either being wrong. And the sheet does not mark which future seasons are GUARANTEED — a club option and a projected arbitration award are both just a number here, so read past the end of the deal as his forecast rather than as money owed.

Two sources, read a month apart, put this guarantee at the same dollar. That is the check, and it passed.

The tax AAV above is his number under the CBA’s own rulebook, not the average we work out from Cot’s total. On a contract with deferred money the two come apart on purpose — and neither is subtracted from the other.

Collect Brice Matthews

If the signal is right, the cardboard usually finds out later. Current listings:

Brice Matthews cards on eBay →

High-end listings ($75+) →

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases.

Not financial advice. We take positions only after publication — never before. Misses stay on the record.

Umpire favor

+0.3 net runs over 26 graded gamesthe zone was kind to the umpire on balance.

Biggest swings: -0.6 · +0.4

→ all umpire grades

The line

YearTeamLvlGABRHHRRBISBBBSOAVGOPS
MLB CAREER952502948113151791.192.597

Bio & season lines: MLB StatsAPI · refreshed nightly · abbreviations →