Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Support the paperGet the Digest
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-23

CLE @ PHI

Home plate: Jordan Baker

“The strike zone picked a side, and wasn't shy about it.”

A
Umpire Grade
96.7% accurate
1.4
Run Favor
runs, PHI
4
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Jordan Baker called the 150 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 145 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Kyle Schwarber — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Patrick Bailey — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Patrick Bailey — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Steven Kwan — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Patrick Bailey — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Justin Crawford — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.69▼8 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged
    J.T. Realmuto vs Peyton Pallette
  2. 2-0.30▲2 · 3-1 ball called strike
    Kyle Manzardo vs Zack Wheeler
  3. 3+0.23▼7 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Alec Bohm vs Shawn Armstrong

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Kyle Schwarber — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Patrick Bailey — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Patrick Bailey — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Steven Kwan — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Patrick Bailey — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  6. 6Justin Crawford — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.