Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-23

CLE @ PHI

Home plate: Jordan Baker

The strike zone picked a side, and wasn't shy about it.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.0% accurate
1.7
Run Favor
runs, PHI
4
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Jordan Baker called the 150 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 141 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Kyle Schwarber — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Patrick Bailey — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Patrick Bailey — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Steven Kwan — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Patrick Bailey — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Justin Crawford — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.698 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged
    J.T. Realmuto vs Peyton Pallette
  2. 2-0.302 · 3-1 ball called strike
    Kyle Manzardo vs Zack Wheeler
  3. 3-0.235 · 0-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Steven Kwan vs Zack Wheeler

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Kyle Schwarber — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Patrick Bailey — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Patrick Bailey — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Steven Kwan — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Patrick Bailey — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  6. 6Justin Crawford — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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