Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
PHI

Philadelphia Phillies

National League · National League East · Citizens Bank Park

Umpire favor

+14.6 net runs over 165 graded games — the zone was kind to the club on balance.

Biggest swings: +2.1 vs MIL · +1.7 vs CLE

→ all umpire grades

The season ahead

The 2026 season is over for the Philadelphia Phillies. Their next game is on Opening Day, March 25, 2027.

On the radar

What the market seesWhat the engine sees
PlayerPosAgeResultsSampleBoardSignal
Adolis GarcíaRF33OPS .59967 GBREAKOUTEV95 108.11
J.T. RealmutoC35OPS .614123 GBREAKOUTEV95 105.625
Edmundo SosaLF30OPS .71284 G—
Cristopher Sánchez★P29ERA 2.91207.0 IPINDEX—
Jesús Luzardo★P29ERA 2.86179.2 IPINDEX—
Kyle Schwarber★DH33OPS .857156 GINDEXEV95 110.385
Luis Arraez★2B29OPS .764151 GINDEXEV95 98.065
Jhoan Duran★P28ERA 1.8259.1 IPINDEX—
Brandon Marsh★LF28OPS .712155 GINDEXEV95 104.86
Bryce Harper★1B33OPS .865162 GINDEXEV95 108.145

Left of the rule is the league’s own line on the player — his results, not our numbers, and never an input to any FVR signal. Right of it is what the engine measures.

The Card Pulse

What the collector market pays for this roster — movers first. A rising price is demand, not our read on the player. The full board →

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases.

Grade F · #27 of 30Heat ▼ 5.7%Value $76.71 avg
Brandon MarshRCBrandon Marsh #87BC-18
▲ 109.5%$19.00Find this card →
Derek HillRCDerek Hill #DN-DH
▲ 47.2%$1.06Find this card →
Jesús LuzardoRCJesus Luzardo #RA-JL
▲ 38.4%$30.44Find this card →
Otto KempOtto Kemp #CBA-OK
▼ 25.3%$52.26Find this card →
Aaron NolaRCAaron Nola #114
▼ 22.1%$17.76Find this card →
Aaron NolaAaron Nola #AA-16
▼ 21.1%$62.18Find this card →
Luis ArraezRCLuis Arraez #45
▼ 17.8%$40.00Find this card →
Trea TurnerRCTrea Turner #32
▲ 10.3%$32.00Find this card →
Bryce HarperRCBryce Harper #661
Gabriel Rincones Jr.Gabriel Rincones Jr. #334
▲ 5.5%$58.42Find this card →
Cristopher SánchezCristopher Sanchez [Gold] #325
▼ 4.6%$45.20Find this card →
Derek HillDerek Hill #US305
▲ 3.6%$35.29Find this card →
Bryson StottBryson Stott #US224
▼ 3.6%$11.25Find this card →
Justin CrawfordRCJustin Crawford #9
▼ 3.3%$35.77Find this card →
Luis ArraezLuis Arraez #HFA-19
▲ 3.1%$103Find this card →
Andrew PainterRCAndrew Painter #BTP-16
▲ 2.9%$36.18Find this card →
Jhoan DuranJhoan Duran [Gold] #83
▲ 2.3%$41.79Find this card →
Kyle SchwarberKyle Schwarber #CN-13
▼ 1.8%$36.22Find this card →
Adolis GarcíaRCAdolis Garcia #RA-AG
▲ 1.7%$41.58Find this card →
Edmundo SosaEdmundo Sosa [Gold] #289
▲ 1.1%$38.02Find this card →
Gabriel Rincones Jr.RCGabriel Rincones Jr. #AFLS-10
▼ 0.7%$34.90Find this card →
Jesús LuzardoJesus Luzardo [Gold] #63
▼ 0.4%$38.52Find this card →
Adolis GarcíaAdolis Garcia [Gold] #318
▼ 0.4%$36.36Find this card →
Brandon MarshBrandon Marsh [Gold] #335
▼ 0.3%$38.53Find this card →
Bryce HarperBryce Harper #ES-6
▼ 0.3%$36.04Find this card →
Justin CrawfordJustin Crawford #BCP-17
▼ 0.2%$34.77Find this card →
Zack WheelerZack Wheeler #AA-9
Kyle SchwarberRCKyle Schwarber #66
Trea TurnerTrea Turner #HA-34
Zack WheelerRCZack Wheeler #US50
Andrew PainterAndrew Painter #BCP-116
▲ 0%$24.50Find this card →
Jhoan DuranRCJhoan Duran #US277
▲ 0%$20.00Find this card →
Edmundo SosaRCEdmundo Sosa #BSB-ES
J.T. RealmutoRCJ.T. Realmuto #US398
J.T. RealmutoJ.T. Realmuto #MLM-JTR

What they pay

A market fact, not an engine read — and the club’s own row from the payroll board, computed once so the two pages cannot disagree.

vs the tax line
−$32.7Mover
MP/MW
$7.04M28 of 30 — 1 is cheapest

PROPOSED Above the cap the owners proposed on 2026-07-21. A proposal out of a negotiation that has not happened, not a rule. The line in force is the $247M tax threshold above.

The five biggest commitments this season

  • Zack Wheeler$42.0M
  • Kyle Schwarber$33.0M
  • Bryce Harper$27.5M
  • Trea Turner$27.3M
  • Jesús Luzardo$27.0M

Cash is what the club pays out; the tax payroll is average annual values under the CBA’s own rulebook. Two answers to one question, never subtracted from one another. Figures from Cot’s.

A second set of books

The numbers above are Cot’s. These are MLB Spreadsheets’s, and they answer two questions Cot’s cannot: what this payroll is made of, and where it has moved since Opening Day. We keep both sources rather than merging them, because the only thing that catches an error in one is the other.

Where the two sources disagree

  • On cash payroll, Cot’s reads $259.6M and MLB Spreadsheets reads $291.6M — $32.0M apart.
  • On tax payroll, Cot’s reads $279.7M and MLB Spreadsheets reads $322.3M — $42.6M apart.

Both are reputable and neither is wrong on its own terms. A gap on sheets a month apart is one source catching up; a gap on sheets a few days apart is a real disagreement about what a club is paying, and nobody prints those. We do not average them, and every figure on this site says which source it came from.

Since Opening Day

Cash payroll
$284.8M → $291.6M +$6.8M
Tax payroll
$315.5M → $322.3M +$6.8M

A move is not a verdict. Adding payroll is not virtue and cutting it is not vice, so nothing here is colored — the sign is the whole fact. And a move in dollars is not a payroll in dollars: we never compare one to the other.

Where the money goes

Cash payroll

$291.6M

The bar divides the $291.8M this club pays out. It takes $0.2M back in — cash in trades — which is what brings the cash payroll to $291.6M.

Tax payroll

$322.3M

The bar divides the $323.0M this club pays out. It takes $0.7M back in — cash in trades and adjustments and credits — which is what brings the tax payroll to $322.3M.

LineCashTax
Players on the rosterSalary to the men actually playing, majors and minors.$245.7M$266.8M
Major-league salary$243.6M$264.6M
Minor-league salary$2.2M$2.2M
Players who are goneSalary buying this club no player at all.$35.6M$35.6M
Termination pay$35.2M$35.2M
Outright assignments$0.4M$0.4M
BonusesSigning bonuses charged against this season, buyouts of options declined, and bonuses already earned.$10.4M$0.4M
Signing bonuses (prorated)$7.0M—
Option buyouts$3.0M—
Assignment bonuses$0.3M$0.3M
Performance and award bonuses$0.1M$0.1M
Cash in tradesMoney sent out with a player traded away, or taken in — a negative figure — to absorb someone else's contract.−$0.2M−$0.2M
League chargesThe same for all thirty clubs — no front office decided to spend this.—$20.2M
Benefits—$18.6M
Pre-arb bonus pool—$1.7M
Adjustments and creditsBookkeeping between the club and the league office.—−$0.5M
Total$291.6M$322.3M

An em dash in one column and a figure in the other is not a missing number — it is the two rulebooks sorting the same money differently. A prorated signing bonus is in the cash figure and already inside the average annual value the tax is assessed on; league charges are the reverse. That is why the two totals differ, and why they are never subtracted from one another.

Composition and Opening Day figures from Ethan Hullihen (@EthanHullihen, MLBSpreadsheets), from a workbook whose oldest relevant sheet is dated . The workbook carries a different date on every tab, so this is the oldest of the ones we read rather than the file’s own. Every line above was checked to sum to the club’s stated total before it was printed.

Down on the farm

Organization prospects on our Triple-A boards.

What the market seesWhat the engine sees
PlayerPosAgeClubResultsSampleBoardSignal
Gabriel Rincones Jr.RF25Philadelphia PhilliesOPS .76844 GTRIPLE-AEV95 110.66
Felix ReyesLF25Philadelphia PhilliesOPS .82985 GTRIPLE-AEV95 109.49

Left of the rule is the league’s own line on the player — his results, not our numbers, and never an input to any FVR signal. Right of it is what the engine measures.

On the record

  • C0006 — Edmundo Sosa · miss

Follow the Phillies

The Phillies, in your inbox — every game scored mark for mark, the morning after they play. Every number reconciled to the official line, or the card doesn’t print. Nothing on off-days.

Collect the Phillies

The organization’s 2026 cardboard, from commons to the high end:

2026 Philadelphia Phillies cards on eBay →

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases.