Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record

AAA · CF · Philadelphia Phillies

Justin Crawford

B/T L/R · 6' 2" · 188 lb · born Phoenix, AZ, USA · age 22 · draft 2022 rd 1 · played CF 121, DH 1 · MLB debut 2026-03-26

Last 14 days (through 2026-08-28): 11 G · .296 AVG · 0 HR · 4 RBI · .703 OPS

394 plate appearances scored this season His season card →

INDEXThe Index — tracked, not flagged

The card rack

FlagshipJustin Crawford #BCP-17 · 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospects · 74 recent sales 7N 0.1%

$1.60Raw$12.14PSA 9$34.90PSA 10$45.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 45 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-08-28 · paid links

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The rookieJustin Crawford #9 · 2026 Topps Finest · 242 recent sales 7N 1.9%

$1.16Raw$12.02PSA 9$35.95PSA 10$47.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 43 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-08-28 · paid links

See all on eBay →

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases. · Flagship = his most-traded card (the market’s reference); the rookie = the top card of his first card year. As of August 28, 2026 · trend is FVR's own nightly archive · prices via SportsCardsPro · what these terms mean

Scout’s note

Crawford debuted this March at 22, a first-round pick from Phoenix, and his EV95 of 104.6 puts him 31st-percentile of the 372 qualified bats we track — below the 105.9 median. His luck gap of 0.0234 means results sit almost exactly where the physics say they should: nothing owed, nothing borrowed. At No. 305 of 372 on the breakout composite, the board — which takes 20 — isn't coming. The .267 average over 123 games is a fair price for the contact behind it.

Current signals

The read: Crawford is tracked, not flagged: an EV95 of 104.6 (33rd percentile of the 375 qualified MLB bats we track; median 105.8) with results within 0.022 of what the physics support — nothing owed, nothing borrowed. The boards hunt mispricing, and his price is right. He sits No. 300 of 375 on the breakout composite; the board takes 20.

Age
22
The shape of the seasonEV95 106.7 104.6 mphweekly · trailing 75 balls in play · full-season EV95: 104.63 mph — the boards use the season figureEV95 is the top of his range, not the middle — the line can fall in the same weeks his typical contact rises.

Where he stands

through

Against the 375 qualified major-league hitters — 100+ balls in play this season, the same field the boards are chosen out of. Right is better on every row.

  1. EV95104.633
  2. Deserved (xVal)0.3089
  3. Got (aVal)0.33026
  4. Luck gap (park-adjusted)flipped0.02219

today · 30 days ago, against the 330 men who qualified then · the tick is the midpoint · the number at the right is the percentile, the number beside it the measurement itself.

A second set of books

The same contract, read by MLB Spreadsheets (Ethan Hullihen), as of . We keep two sources on this because one source cannot check itself.

Tax AAV
$0.78M
Term
1 yr
His class
Pre-Arb

What the sheet prices each season at

Season202620272028202920302031
SalaryMinimumMinimumMinimumArb 1Arb 2Arb 3

A base salary under his own reading, and never subtracted from the cash figure above: a signing bonus lands in one and not the other, so the two disagree on most men without either being wrong. And the sheet does not mark which future seasons are GUARANTEED — a club option and a projected arbitration award are both just a number here, so read past the end of the deal as his forecast rather than as money owed.

Two sources, read a month apart, put this guarantee at the same dollar. That is the check, and it passed.

The tax AAV above is his number under the CBA’s own rulebook, not the average we work out from Cot’s total. On a contract with deferred money the two come apart on purpose — and neither is subtracted from the other.

Collect Justin Crawford

If the signal is right, the cardboard usually finds out later. Current listings:

Justin Crawford cards on eBay →

High-end listings ($75+) →

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases.

Not financial advice. We take positions only after publication — never before. Misses stay on the record.

Umpire favor

+0.3 net runs over 25 graded gamesthe zone was kind to him on balance.

Biggest swings: +0.4 · -0.4

→ all umpire grades

The line

YearTeamLvlGABRHHRRBISBBBSOAVGOPS
2022Clearwater ThreshersA5212300229.143.360
2023Clearwater ThreshersA692765195360402553.344.877
2023Jersey Shore BlueClawsA+18732021047716.288.791
2024Jersey Shore BlueClawsA+702925488635272164.301.787
2024Reading Fightin PhilsAA401652555326151129.333.835
2025Lehigh Valley IronPigsAAA11244088147747465891.334.863
2026Philadelphia PhilliesMLB1243604196234162368.267.667
MLB CAREER1243604196234162368.267.667

Bio & season lines: MLB StatsAPI · refreshed nightly · abbreviations →