Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-19

CIN @ PHI

Home plate: Will Little

This one went to video review more than most.

B+
Umpire Grade
93.5% accurate
1.7
Run Favor
runs, PHI
5
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Will Little called the 155 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 145 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Sal Stewart — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Adolis García — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Sal Stewart — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.695 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Justin Crawford vs Chase Burns
  2. 2-0.394 · 2-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Sal Stewart vs Jesús Luzardo
  3. 3+0.289 · 1-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Alec Bohm vs Tony Santillan

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 5 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Tyler Stephenson — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Sal Stewart — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Adolis García — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Tyler Stephenson — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Sal Stewart — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  6. 6Tyler Stephenson — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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