Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-04

PHI @ MIA

Home plate: Bruce Dreckman

Somebody's pitching staff sent a thank-you note.

D
Umpire Grade
88.7% accurate
1.0
Run Favor
runs, PHI
1
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Bruce Dreckman called the 133 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 118 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Xavier Edwards — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Justin Crawford — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.285 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Justin Crawford vs Janson Junk
  2. 2+0.232 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Justin Crawford vs Janson Junk
  3. 3+0.203 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Jakob Marsee vs Aaron Nola

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Xavier Edwards — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Justin Crawford — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Liam Hicks — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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