Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record

MLB · RF · San Diego Padres

Fernando Tatis Jr.

B/T R/R · 6' 3" · 217 lb · born San Pedro De Macoris, Dominican Republic · age 27 · played RF 120, 2B 53, DH 2 · MLB debut 2019-03-28

704 plate appearances scored this season His season card →

INDEXThe Index — tracked, not flagged

On the record · career milestone this season

500 career runs scored — Tue, Jun 9 · night game vs. Cincinnati Reds The scorecard → · The write-up →

The Line of the Day

1-3, HR, 1 RBI, 1 BB — Wed, Oct 7 · night game vs. Milwaukee Brewers The scorecard →

2-5, 2 HR, 2 RBI — Tue, Sep 1 · night game vs. Cincinnati Reds The scorecard →

4-5, 2 HR, 4 RBI — Sun, Aug 23 · day game vs. Minnesota Twins The scorecard →

2-5, 2 HR, 3 RBI — Tue, Aug 18 · night game vs. New York Mets The scorecard →

The card rack

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases.

FlagshipTony Gwynn / Fernando Tatis Jr. #55DH-14 · 2025 Topps Chrome Platinum 1955 Double Header · 171 recent sales 7N ▲1.3%

$1.59Raw$12.50PSA 9$37.20PSA 10$48.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 59 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-10-12 · paid links

See all on eBay →

The rookieFernando Tatis Jr. #410 · 2019 Topps · 740 recent sales 7N ▲2.2%

$1.57Raw$8.80PSA 9$20.52PSA 10$33.71BGS 10PSA 10 · 59 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-10-12 · paid links

See all on eBay →

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases. · Flagship = his most-traded card (the market’s reference); the rookie = the top card of his first card year. As of October 12, 2026 · trend is FVR's own nightly archive · prices via SportsCardsPro · what these terms mean

Scout’s note

Fernando Tatis Jr.'s EV95 of 111.49 is 98th percentile of 406 qualified MLB bats, and his luck gap of -0.0227 means the stat line owes nothing to fortune. He sits No. 29 of 406 on the breakout composite; the board takes 20. From San Pedro de Macorís, 27 years old, with 38 stolen bases alongside 25 home runs and a .289 average. The engine sees a player whose results match his physics exactly. Nothing flagged, nothing owed — one of the best players alive, priced accordingly.

Note written · FVR scout (GLM-5.2)

We wrote about Jr. here — The Buzz September 30, 2026 · September 15, 2026 · The Overnight: 2-for-3, HR, 3 BB, RBI (September 12, 2026) · The Buzz September 7, 2026 · and 5 more

Current signals

The read: Tatis is tracked, not flagged: an EV95 of 111.5 (98th percentile of the 406 qualified MLB bats we track; median 105.8) with results within 0.023 of what the physics support — nothing owed, nothing borrowed. The boards hunt mispricing, and his price is right. He sits No. 29 of 406 on the breakout composite; the board takes 20.

SQUARE — the line and the bat agree. Where he sits in the league →

Age
27
The shape of the seasonEV95 110.5 → 111.1 mphweekly · trailing 75 balls in play · full-season EV95: 111.49 mph — the boards use the season figureEV95 is the top of his range, not the middle — the line can fall in the same weeks his typical contact rises.

Where he stands

through

Against the 406 qualified major-league hitters — 100+ balls in play this season, the same field the boards are chosen out of. Right is better on every row.

  1. EV95111.598
  2. Deserved (xVal)0.44589
  3. Got (aVal)0.40680
  4. Luck gap (park-adjusted)flipped-0.02372

today · 30 days ago, against the 375 men who qualified then · the tick is the midpoint · the number at the right is the percentile, the number beside it the measurement itself.

A second set of books

The same contract, read by MLB Spreadsheets (Ethan Hullihen), as of . We keep two sources on this because one source cannot check itself.

Tax AAV
$24.3M
Guaranteed
$340.0M
Term
14 yrs
His class
Extension

What the sheet prices each season at

Season202620272028202920302031203220332034
Salary$20.0M$25.0M$25.0M$36.0M$36.0M$36.0M$36.0M$36.0M$36.0M

A base salary under his own reading, and never subtracted from the cash figure above: a signing bonus lands in one and not the other, so the two disagree on most men without either being wrong. And the sheet does not mark which future seasons are GUARANTEED — a club option and a projected arbitration award are both just a number here, so read past the end of the deal as his forecast rather than as money owed.

Two sources, read a month apart, put this guarantee at the same dollar. That is the check, and it passed.

The tax AAV above is his number under the CBA’s own rulebook, not the average we work out from Cot’s total. On a contract with deferred money the two come apart on purpose — and neither is subtracted from the other.

Collect Fernando Tatis Jr.

If the signal is right, the cardboard usually finds out later. Current listings:

Fernando Tatis Jr. cards on eBay →

High-end listings ($75+) →

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases.

Not financial advice. We take positions only after publication — never before. Misses stay on the record.

The Bureau on Fernando Tatis Jr.

The scouting press, in their own words

FINAL: Padres 8, Cubs 0 First-inning home runs from Fernando Tatis Jr. and Manny Machado. Seven brilliant one-hit innings from Michael King. This is the Padres team that's played better than anyone in baseball for more than two months. And they put a Game 1 walloping on Chicago.

Jeff Passan · ESPN · September 30 · on X →

Right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. of the San Diego Padres has been named the National League Player of the Week, and shortstop Zach Neto of the Los Angeles Angels has been selected the American League Player of the Week.

Jim Bowden · The Athletic · August 24 · on X →

Fernando Tatis Jr. in his last 81 games: .303/.375/.511, 15 HR, 45 RBI. 18 SB https://t.co/Y25Dl7PY5m

Kyle Glaser · Baseball America · August 19 · on X →

Umpire favor

+5.2 net runs over 75 graded games — the zone was kind to the umpire on balance.

Biggest swings: +1.1 · +0.7

→ all umpire grades

The postseason

Fernando Tatis Jr.’s playoff games, each on its reconciled card. Kept apart from the season line below — none of it is counted in a season number on this page.

The line

YearTeamLvlGABRHHRRBISBBBSOAVGOPS
2019San Diego PadresMLB843346110622531630110.317.969
2020San Diego PadresMLB5922450621745112761.277.937
2021San Diego PadresMLB1304789913542972562153.282.975
2023San Diego PadresMLB1415759114825782953141.257.771
2024San Diego PadresMLB102398641102149113296.276.832
2025San Diego PadresMLB15559411115925713289129.268.814
2026San Diego PadresMLB1596269618125833864130.289.828
MLB CAREER8303229572901177476162357820.279.860

Bio & season lines: MLB StatsAPI · refreshed nightly · abbreviations →