Jhoan Duran

On the record · career milestone this season

100 career saves — Mon, May 25 · day game vs. San Diego Padres The scorecard →

The card rack

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FlagshipJhoan Duran [Gold] #83 · 2026 Topps · 53 recent sales 7N ▲2.6%

$2.57Raw$14.22PSA 9$41.79PSA 10$54.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 60 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-10-12 · paid links

$0.99Ungraded$1.00Ungraded$1.00Ungraded

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The rookieJhoan Duran #US277 · 2022 Topps Update · 34 recent sales 7N ▲0%

$1.25Raw$16.99PSA 9$20.00PSA 10$26.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 60 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-10-12 · paid links

$0.99Ungraded$0.99Ungraded$0.99Ungraded

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Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases. · Flagship = his most-traded card (the market’s reference); the rookie = the top card of his first card year. As of October 12, 2026 · trend is FVR's own nightly archive · prices via SportsCardsPro · what these terms mean

Scout’s note

Duran sits in the Index ungraded — the stuff model doesn't validate outcomes yet, so no pitcher gets a board flag from it, even at 1.82 ERA with 33 saves for Philadelphia. From Esperanza, 28, six-foot-five and 230 pounds, he's struck out 84 in 59 and a third innings. The ERA-FIP luck gap did clear the threshold, which means a regression call gets filed by hand. He matters; the grade can wait.

Note written Oct 11 · FVR scout (GLM-5.2)

Current signals

The read: Duran is in the Index ungraded, on purpose: our stuff model is stability-tested but not outcome-validated, so no big-league arm gets a board flag from it — not even one of the best seasons in the sport. (Calls are another matter: the ERA-FIP luck gap did clear the bar, and we file arm regression calls by hand from it.) The page is here because the player matters; the board grade waits for the science.

WAR (season · MLB calc)

2.9

A market fact, not an engine read: what a club decided about him, on the season before this one. Figures from Cot’s.

2026 salary

$11.75M

Tax hit

$11.75M

Service time

5 yr 0 d

Options left

2 / 3

Cash and the tax hit are two different rulebooks and are never subtracted from one another — see the payroll board for his club, Philadelphia Phillies.

A second set of books

The same contract, read by MLB Spreadsheets (Ethan Hullihen), as of September 17, 2026. We keep two sources on this because one source cannot check itself.

Tax AAV

$7.50M

Guaranteed

$7.50M

Term

1 yr

His class

Arb

The tax AAV above is his number under the CBA’s own rulebook, not the average we work out from Cot’s total. On a contract with deferred money the two come apart on purpose — and neither is subtracted from the other.

Collect Jhoan Duran

If the signal is right, the cardboard usually finds out later. Current listings:

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Not financial advice. We take positions only after publication — never before. Misses stay on the record.