Jhoan Duran

On the record · career milestone this season

100 career saves — Mon, May 25 · day game vs. San Diego Padres The scorecard →

The card rack

FlagshipJhoan Duran [Gold] #83 · 2026 Topps · 65 recent sales 7N ▲1.6%

$2.48Raw$13.99PSA 9$41.26PSA 10$54.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 45 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-08-28 · paid links

$2.00Ungraded$2.00Ungraded$2.25Ungraded

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The rookieJhoan Duran #US277 · 2022 Topps Update · 32 recent sales 7N ▲0%

$1.15Raw$16.99PSA 9$20.00PSA 10$26.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 43 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-08-28 · paid links

$0.99Ungraded$1.00Ungraded$1.00Ungraded

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Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases. · Flagship = his most-traded card (the market’s reference); the rookie = the top card of his first card year. As of August 28, 2026 · trend is FVR's own nightly archive · prices via SportsCardsPro · what these terms mean

Scout’s note

Duran stays ungraded in the Index on purpose — our stuff model is stability-tested but not outcome-validated, so no big-league arm gets a board flag from it, not even one carrying a 1.75 ERA across 46.1 innings with 65 strikeouts. The ERA-FIP luck gap did clear our bar, and we file arm regression calls by hand from it. He came out of Esperanza, Dominican Republic, reached the majors in 2022, and at 28 stands eighth in the sport with 28 saves. The grade waits for the science.

Current signals

The read: Duran is in the Index ungraded, on purpose: our stuff model is stability-tested but not outcome-validated, so no big-league arm gets a board flag from it — not even one of the best seasons in the sport. (Calls are another matter: the ERA-FIP luck gap did clear the bar, and we file arm regression calls by hand from it.) The page is here because the player matters; the board grade waits for the science.

WAR (season · MLB calc)

2.4

A market fact, not an engine read: what a club decided about him, on the season before this one. Figures from Cot’s, as of August 21, 2026.

2026 salary

$7.50M

Tax hit

$7.50M

Service time

4 yr 0 d

Options left

2 / 3

Cash and the tax hit are two different rulebooks and are never subtracted from one another — see the payroll board for his club, Philadelphia Phillies.

A second set of books

The same contract, read by MLB Spreadsheets (Ethan Hullihen), as of August 20, 2026. We keep two sources on this because one source cannot check itself.

Tax AAV

$7.50M

Guaranteed

$7.50M

Term

1 yr

His class

Arb

The tax AAV above is his number under the CBA’s own rulebook, not the average we work out from Cot’s total. On a contract with deferred money the two come apart on purpose — and neither is subtracted from the other.

Collect Jhoan Duran

If the signal is right, the cardboard usually finds out later. Current listings:

High-end listings ($75+) →

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Not financial advice. We take positions only after publication — never before. Misses stay on the record.