Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-23

HOU @ CHC

Home plate: Chad Whitson

Called a fair game and let the players decide it.

B+
Umpire Grade
93.3% accurate
0.5
Run Favor
runs, CHC
4
ABS Overturns
of 7 reviewed

What this shows — how Chad Whitson called the 150 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 140 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Miguel Amaya — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Zach Cole — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Christian Walker — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: César Salazar — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Dansby Swanson — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: César Salazar — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).6Challenge 7: Michael Busch — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).7
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.287 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Kevin Alcántara vs Steven Okert
  2. 2-0.132 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Seiya Suzuki vs Kai-Wei Teng
  3. 3-0.132 · 1-0 ball called strike· challenged
    Zach Cole vs Colin Rea

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

7 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Miguel Amaya — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Zach Cole — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Christian Walker — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4César Salazar — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Dansby Swanson — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  6. 6César Salazar — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  7. 7Michael Busch — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 6 of 7 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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