Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-07

CIN @ STL

Home plate: John Tumpane

“The zone kept its promises.”

A
Umpire Grade
95.8% accurate
0.9
Run Favor
runs, STL
2
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how John Tumpane called the 167 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 160 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Sal Stewart — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.30▼1 · 3-1 strike called ball
    Lars Nootbaar vs Rhett Lowder
  2. 2+0.30▼2 · 3-1 strike called ball
    JJ Wetherholt vs Rhett Lowder
  3. 3+0.13▼5 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Lars Nootbaar vs Chris Paddack

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Tyler Stephenson — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Tyler Stephenson — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Sal Stewart — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Tyler Stephenson — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.