Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-14

AZ @ CIN

Home plate: Dexter Kelley

“A workmanlike night — nothing to frame, nothing to fix.”

B
Umpire Grade
92.5% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, CIN
3
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Dexter Kelley called the 159 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 147 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Jose Trevino — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: JJ Bleday — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: LuJames Groover — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Gabriel Moreno — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Blake Dunn — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.20▲7 · 2-1 ball called strike
    Corbin Carroll vs Sam Moll
  2. 2+0.13▲8 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Gabriel Moreno vs Zach Maxwell
  3. 3+0.10▲5 · 0-1 strike called ball
    Ketel Marte vs Andrew Abbott

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Jose Trevino — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2JJ Bleday — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3LuJames Groover — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Gabriel Moreno — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Blake Dunn — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.