Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Support the paperGet the Digest
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-18

BAL @ SEA

Home plate: Tyler Jones

“A few too many trips to the challenge cart.”

A
Umpire Grade
95.1% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, SEA
7
ABS Overturns
of 9 reviewed

What this shows — how Tyler Jones called the 123 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 117 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Cal Raleigh — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Shane Baz — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Samuel Basallo — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Pete Alonso — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Mitch Garver — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Colt Emerson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6Challenge 7: Adley Rutschman — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).7Challenge 8: Samuel Basallo — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).8Challenge 9: Samuel Basallo — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).9
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.28▼1 · 1-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Cal Raleigh vs Shane Baz
  2. 2+0.13▼7 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Miles Mastrobuoni vs Shane Baz
  3. 3+0.13▲8 · 1-0 strike called ball
    Colton Cowser vs Bryan Woo

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

9 pitches went to the robots · 7 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Cal Raleigh — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Shane Baz — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Samuel Basallo — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Pete Alonso — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Mitch Garver — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  6. 6Colt Emerson — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  7. 7Adley Rutschman — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  8. 8Samuel Basallo — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  9. 9Samuel Basallo — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 9 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.