Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-18

BAL @ SEA

Home plate: Tyler Jones

A few too many trips to the challenge cart.

B
Umpire Grade
92.7% accurate
0.5
Run Favor
runs, SEA
7
ABS Overturns
of 9 reviewed

What this shows — how Tyler Jones called the 123 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 114 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Cal Raleigh — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Shane Baz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Samuel Basallo — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Pete Alonso — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Mitch Garver — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Colt Emerson — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6Challenge 7: Adley Rutschman — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).7Challenge 8: Samuel Basallo — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).8Challenge 9: Samuel Basallo — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).9
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.691 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Mitch Garver vs Shane Baz
  2. 2-0.693 · 3-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Colt Emerson vs Shane Baz
  3. 3-0.392 · 2-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Pete Alonso vs Bryan Woo

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

9 pitches went to the robots · 7 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Cal Raleigh — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Shane Baz — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Samuel Basallo — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Pete Alonso — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Mitch Garver — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  6. 6Colt Emerson — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  7. 7Adley Rutschman — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  8. 8Samuel Basallo — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  9. 9Samuel Basallo — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 7 of 9 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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