Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-19

LAA @ ATH

Home plate: Dan Merzel

The zone kept its promises.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.7% accurate
0.4
Run Favor
runs, LAA
2
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Dan Merzel called the 209 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 198 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Nick Kurtz — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Shea Langeliers — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Henry Bolte — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Logan O'Hoppe — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Logan O'Hoppe — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Tyler Heineman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.691 · 3-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Nick Kurtz vs José Soriano
  2. 2+0.232 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Henry Bolte vs José Soriano
  3. 3-0.2110 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Henry Bolte vs Kirby Yates

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 4 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Nick Kurtz — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Shea Langeliers — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Henry Bolte — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Logan O'Hoppe — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Logan O'Hoppe — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  6. 6Tyler Heineman — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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