Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-21

BOS @ SEA

Home plate: Adrian Johnson

“The zone kept its promises.”

A-
Umpire Grade
94.5% accurate
0.6
Run Favor
runs, SEA
3
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Adrian Johnson called the 109 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 103 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Victor Robles — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Connor Wong — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Rob Refsnyder — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Josh Naylor — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.30▼4 · 3-1 strike called ball
    Julio Rodríguez vs Payton Tolle
  2. 2+0.13▼7 · 1-0 strike called ball
    Cole Young vs Danny Coulombe
  3. 3+0.10▲8 · 0-1 strike called ball
    Nate Eaton vs Eduard Bazardo

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Victor Robles — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Connor Wong — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Rob Refsnyder — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Josh Naylor — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.