Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-22

HOU @ TOR

Home plate: Bill Miller

The Automated Ball-Strike System put in some overtime here.

A
Umpire Grade
95.8% accurate
0.6
Run Favor
runs, TOR
5
ABS Overturns
of 8 reviewed

What this shows — how Bill Miller called the 168 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 161 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Isaac Paredes — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Jose Altuve — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Jose Altuve — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: George Springer — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Kazuma Okamoto — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Yainer Diaz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6Challenge 7: Yainer Diaz — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).7Challenge 8: Yainer Diaz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).8
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.203 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Kazuma Okamoto vs Hunter Brown
  2. 2+0.133 · 1-1 strike called ball· challenged
    Ernie Clement vs Hunter Brown
  3. 3-0.131 · 1-0 ball called strike· challenged
    Jose Altuve vs Dylan Cease

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

8 pitches went to the robots · 5 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Isaac Paredes — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Jose Altuve — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Jose Altuve — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4George Springer — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Kazuma Okamoto — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  6. 6Yainer Diaz — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  7. 7Yainer Diaz — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  8. 8Yainer Diaz — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 6 of 8 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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