Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-26

WSH @ BAL

Home plate: Alex Tosi

Corner-to-corner and then some.

C+
Umpire Grade
90.1% accurate
0.6
Run Favor
runs, WSH
4
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Alex Tosi called the 152 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 137 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Keibert Ruiz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Blaze Alexander — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Keibert Ruiz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Keibert Ruiz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Samuel Basallo — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Tyler O'Neill — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.698 · 3-2 ball called strike
    Leody Taveras vs Zak Kent
  2. 2+0.289 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Dylan Crews vs Ryan Helsley
  3. 3-0.214 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Jackson Holliday vs Andrew Alvarez

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Keibert Ruiz — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Blaze Alexander — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Keibert Ruiz — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Keibert Ruiz — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Samuel Basallo — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  6. 6Tyler O'Neill — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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