Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-06

HOU @ WSH

Home plate: Dan Merzel

“Hawkeye did more talking than the umpire tonight.”

A
Umpire Grade
95.7% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, WSH
6
ABS Overturns
of 8 reviewed

What this shows — how Dan Merzel called the 163 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 156 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Isaac Paredes — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Isaac Paredes — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Yainer Diaz — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Drew Millas — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Yainer Diaz — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Yainer Diaz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).6Challenge 7: Drew Millas — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).7Challenge 8: Drew Millas — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).8
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.28▼4 · 1-2 strike called ball· challenged
    James Wood vs Mike Burrows
  2. 2-0.21▼1 · 3-0 ball called strike
    James Wood vs Mike Burrows
  3. 3-0.13▼8 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Luis García Jr. vs Enyel De Los Santos

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

8 pitches went to the robots · 6 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Isaac Paredes — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Isaac Paredes — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Yainer Diaz — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Drew Millas — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Yainer Diaz — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  6. 6Yainer Diaz — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  7. 7Drew Millas — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  8. 8Drew Millas — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 8 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.