Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-08

ATH @ DET

Home plate: Alex MacKay

The zone kept its promises.

A
Umpire Grade
96.3% accurate
0.4
Run Favor
runs, DET
3
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Alex MacKay called the 161 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 155 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Riley Greene — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Shea Langeliers — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Shea Langeliers — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Henry Bolte — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Kevin McGonigle — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Zack Gelof — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.133 · 1-1 strike called ball· challenged
    Spencer Torkelson vs Jeffrey Springs
  2. 2-0.137 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Shea Langeliers vs Keider Montero
  3. 3-0.131 · 1-0 ball called strike· challenged
    Riley Greene vs Jeffrey Springs

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Riley Greene — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Shea Langeliers — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Shea Langeliers — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Henry Bolte — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Kevin McGonigle — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  6. 6Zack Gelof — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

Paste the link anywhere — the card previews on its own. Or take it with you.

Post on X