Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-08

MIL @ STL

Home plate: Jen Pawol

You had to throw it down Broadway to get the call.

C+
Umpire Grade
90.8% accurate
0.6
Run Favor
runs, STL
2
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Jen Pawol called the 141 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 128 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: William Contreras — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: William Contreras — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Nelson Velázquez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Pedro Pagés — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.699 · 3-2 ball called strike
    Garrett Mitchell vs Riley O'Brien
  2. 2+0.281 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Nelson Velázquez vs Kyle Harrison
  3. 3+0.283 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Christian Yelich vs Michael McGreevy

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1William Contreras — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2William Contreras — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Nelson Velázquez — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Pedro Pagés — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.