Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-09

PHI @ CIN

Home plate: Mike Estabrook

“You had to throw it down Broadway to get the call.”

B
Umpire Grade
92.7% accurate
0.7
Run Favor
runs, CIN
2
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Mike Estabrook called the 123 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 114 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Gabriel Rincones Jr. — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Eugenio Suárez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.13▲1 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Trea Turner vs Brady Singer
  2. 2+0.10▲7 · 0-1 strike called ball
    Brandon Marsh vs Brady Singer
  3. 3+0.10▼8 · 0-1 strike called ball
    TJ Friedl vs Jonathan Bowlan

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Gabriel Rincones Jr. — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Tyler Stephenson — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Eugenio Suárez — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.