Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Support the paperGet the Digest
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-10

PHI @ DET

Home plate: Hunter Wendelstedt

“Solid and unspectacular — exactly what the job asks.”

A-
Umpire Grade
94.9% accurate
0.6
Run Favor
runs, PHI
3
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Hunter Wendelstedt called the 138 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 131 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Bryce Harper — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Jake Rogers — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Rafael Marchán — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Kevin McGonigle — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Trea Turner — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Jake Rogers — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.23▲8 · 0-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Alec Bohm vs Beau Brieske
  2. 2+0.13▼6 · 1-1 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Kevin McGonigle vs Tim Mayza
  3. 3+0.13▲4 · 1-0 strike called ball
    Derek Hill vs Jack Flaherty

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Bryce Harper — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Jake Rogers — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Rafael Marchán — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Kevin McGonigle — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Trea Turner — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  6. 6Jake Rogers — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.