Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Support the paperGet the Digest
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-11

BOS @ NYM

Home plate: Brock Ballou

“This one went to video review more than most.”

A-
Umpire Grade
94.1% accurate
0.9
Run Favor
runs, BOS
5
ABS Overturns
of 9 reviewed

What this shows — how Brock Ballou called the 170 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 160 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Wilyer Abreu — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Freddy Peralta — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Francisco Alvarez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Carlos Narváez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Carlos Narváez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Carlos Narváez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6Challenge 7: Carlos Narváez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).7Challenge 8: Bo Bichette — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).8Challenge 9: A.J. Ewing — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).9
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.69▲4 · 3-2 strike called ball
    Caleb Durbin vs Freddy Peralta
  2. 2+0.39▲3 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Wilyer Abreu vs Freddy Peralta
  3. 3-0.28▼6 · 1-2 ball called strike
    Carson Benge vs Jovani Morán

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

9 pitches went to the robots · 5 overturned (ump overruled) · 4 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Wilyer Abreu — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Freddy Peralta — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Francisco Alvarez — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Carlos Narváez — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Carlos Narváez — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  6. 6Carlos Narváez — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  7. 7Carlos Narváez — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  8. 8Bo Bichette — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  9. 9A.J. Ewing — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 9 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.