Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-12

TOR @ SD

Home plate: Jen Pawol

“Reliable as a Tuesday: no complaints, no headlines.”

B
Umpire Grade
92.8% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, SD
4
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Jen Pawol called the 139 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 129 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Xander Bogaerts — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Brandon Valenzuela — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Brandon Valenzuela — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Andrés Giménez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Manny Machado — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Ernie Clement — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.39▼2 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Gavin Sheets vs Kevin Gausman
  2. 2+0.23▼2 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Ty France vs Kevin Gausman
  3. 3-0.19▼4 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Jake Cronenworth vs Kevin Gausman

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Xander Bogaerts — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Brandon Valenzuela — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Brandon Valenzuela — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Andrés Giménez — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Manny Machado — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  6. 6Ernie Clement — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.