Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-20

CIN @ SEA

Home plate: Dillon Wilson

A workmanlike night — nothing to frame, nothing to fix.

A
Umpire Grade
95.2% accurate
0.7
Run Favor
runs, CIN
1
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Dillon Wilson called the 126 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 120 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Dominic Canzone — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Josh Naylor — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: George Kirby — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.698 · 3-2 strike called ball
    Edwin Arroyo vs Cole Wilcox
  2. 2+0.281 · 1-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Dominic Canzone vs Andrew Abbott
  3. 3+0.205 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Tyler Stephenson vs George Kirby

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Dominic Canzone — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Tyler Stephenson — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Josh Naylor — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4George Kirby — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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