Carlos Narváez

The card rack

FlagshipCarlos Narvaez #248 · 2026 Topps Heritage · 120 recent sales 7N ▲1%

$2.98Raw$14.66PSA 9$43.33PSA 10$56.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 42 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-08-27 · paid links

$0.99Ungraded$1.25Ungraded$1.25Ungraded

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The rookieCarlos Narvaez #RA-CAN · 2025 Topps Chrome Rookie Autograph · 134 recent sales 7N ▲0%

$4.64Raw$22.00PSA 9$158PSA 10$205BGS 10PSA 10 · 42 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-08-27 · paid links

$5.11Ungraded$5.46Ungraded$6.00Ungraded

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Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases. · Flagship = his most-traded card (the market’s reference); the rookie = the top card of his first card year. As of August 27, 2026 · trend is FVR's own nightly archive · prices via SportsCardsPro · what these terms mean

Scout’s note

The No. 6 slot on the breakout board belongs to Narváez, and the gap behind it is real: an EV95 of 105.735, essentially league-average (median 105.9), paired with a luck gap of -0.0941 that puts his results further below the physics than 99% of qualified hitters. A 27-year-old from Maracay who debuted last July, he has played 202 career games with a .216 average and 18 home runs — and this season has been harder, .169 with 3 home runs and 10 RBI in 78 games, 80 strikeouts already. The engine sees a bat that isn't getting credit for what it puts into the ball. Whether that's a catching load, an approach problem, or the adjustment period for a young hitter who didn't arrive until late 2024, the contact quality says the .169 isn't the whole story.

Current signals

The read: Narváez is hitting the ball harder than 47% of the 373 qualified MLB hitters in our sample (EV95 105.7; league median 105.8), while his results on contact run further below the physics than 99% of them. Loud bat, quieter stat line — the breakout shape; he ranks No. 6 of 20 on the breakout board.

OWED — his contact has outrun his line. Where he sits in the league →

EV95 (mph)

105.7

Luck gap (park-adj)

-0.095

Overlay score

0.8104

WAR (season · MLB calc)

-0.5

Balls in play

141

Sprint (ft/s)

25.3

Age

27

A market fact, not an engine read: what a club decided about him, on the season before this one. Figures from Cot’s, as of August 21, 2026.

2026 salary

$0.24Mest

Tax hit

$0.24M

Service time

1 yr 38 d

Options left

2 / 3

Regime read from his service time, not from the sheet — it does not project him past this season. Super Two eligibility is the top 22% of a class and can move this line in a way service time alone cannot see.

Cash and the tax hit are two different rulebooks and are never subtracted from one another — see the payroll board for his club, Baltimore Orioles.

A second set of books

The same contract, read by MLB Spreadsheets (Ethan Hullihen), as of August 20, 2026. We keep two sources on this because one source cannot check itself.

Tax AAV

$0.80M

Guaranteed

$0.80M

Term

1 yr

His class

Pre-Arb

The tax AAV above is his number under the CBA’s own rulebook, not the average we work out from Cot’s total. On a contract with deferred money the two come apart on purpose — and neither is subtracted from the other.

Collect Carlos Narváez

If the signal is right, the cardboard usually finds out later. Current listings:

High-end listings ($75+) →

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Not financial advice. We take positions only after publication — never before. Misses stay on the record.