Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-22

MIN @ CLE

Home plate: Willie Traynor

Down the middle. Both dugouts had the same zone.

B
Umpire Grade
92.2% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, MIN
1
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Willie Traynor called the 180 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 166 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Alex Jackson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Alex Jackson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Patrick Bailey — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Patrick Bailey — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.301 · 3-1 ball called strike
    Brayan Rocchio vs Bailey Ober
  2. 2+0.288 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Josh Bell vs Will Dion
  3. 3-0.235 · 0-2 ball called strike
    Royce Lewis vs Slade Cecconi

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Alex Jackson — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Alex Jackson — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Patrick Bailey — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Patrick Bailey — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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