Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-26

COL @ MIL

Home plate: Willie Traynor

Borderline went to the battery all night.

D
Umpire Grade
88.3% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, MIL
3
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Willie Traynor called the 128 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 113 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Hunter Goodman — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Gary Sánchez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Gary Sánchez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Kyle Freeland — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Gary Sánchez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Gary Sánchez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.391 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Jake McCarthy vs Jacob Misiorowski
  2. 2+0.306 · 3-1 strike called ball· challenged
    Jake Bauers vs Kyle Freeland
  3. 3-0.234 · 0-2 ball called strike
    Mickey Moniak vs Jacob Misiorowski

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Hunter Goodman — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Gary Sánchez — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Gary Sánchez — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Kyle Freeland — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Gary Sánchez — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  6. 6Gary Sánchez — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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