Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-28

TEX @ TB

Home plate: Rob Drake

Called a fair game and let the players decide it.

A
Umpire Grade
95.5% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, TB
3
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Rob Drake called the 133 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 127 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Austin Wynns — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Austin Wynns — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Joc Pederson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.303 · 3-1 ball called strike
    Evan Carter vs Griffin Jax
  2. 2-0.234 · 0-2 ball called strike
    Nicky Lopez vs Griffin Jax
  3. 3-0.133 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Richie Palacios vs Cal Quantrill

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 0 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Austin Wynns — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Austin Wynns — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Joc Pederson — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 0 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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