Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-30

SF @ SD

Home plate: Willie Traynor

One dugout got the friendlier version of the evening.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.0% accurate
1.1
Run Favor
runs, SF
4
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Willie Traynor called the 151 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 142 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Luis Campusano — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Luis Rengifo — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Luis Campusano — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Manny Machado — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Luis Campusano — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Luis Campusano — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.699 · 3-2 strike called ball
    Jung Hoo Lee vs Randy Vásquez
  2. 2+0.133 · 1-0 strike called ball
    Fernando Tatis Jr. vs Robbie Ray
  3. 3+0.139 · 1-0 strike called ball· challenged
    Willy Adames vs Randy Vásquez

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Luis Campusano — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Luis Rengifo — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Luis Campusano — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Manny Machado — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Luis Campusano — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  6. 6Luis Campusano — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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