Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-31

MIL @ LAA

Home plate: Carlos Torres

An honest evening's grade: nothing loud, nothing missed by much.

B+
Umpire Grade
93.4% accurate
0.6
Run Favor
runs, LAA
2
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Carlos Torres called the 182 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 170 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Luis Lara — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Denzer Guzman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: William Contreras — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Jackson Chourio — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.695 · 3-2 strike called ball
    Jose Siri vs Shane Drohan
  2. 2-0.301 · 3-1 ball called strike
    William Contreras vs Ryan Johnson
  3. 3+0.287 · 1-2 strike called ball
    William Contreras vs José Fermin

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Luis Lara — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Denzer Guzman — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3William Contreras — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Jackson Chourio — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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