Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-01

MIN @ SEA

Home plate: Roberto Ortiz

“The zone leaned, and the ledger noticed.”

A-
Umpire Grade
94.3% accurate
1.1
Run Favor
runs, MIN
4
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Roberto Ortiz called the 140 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 132 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Mitch Garver — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Victor Caratini — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Mitch Garver — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Victor Caratini — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.69▲4 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Kody Clemens vs Logan Gilbert
  2. 2-0.39▼8 · 2-2 ball called strike· challenged ✓
    Mitch Garver vs Taylor Rogers
  3. 3+0.19▲4 · 2-0 strike called ball
    Kody Clemens vs Logan Gilbert

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 0 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Mitch Garver — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Victor Caratini — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Mitch Garver — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Victor Caratini — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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