Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-02

TEX @ HOU

Home plate: Todd Tichenor

Reliable as a Tuesday: no complaints, no headlines.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.9% accurate
0.6
Run Favor
runs, HOU
1
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Todd Tichenor called the 158 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 150 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Elias Díaz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Elias Díaz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Christian Vázquez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.213 · 3-0 strike called ball
    Taylor Trammell vs Kumar Rocker
  2. 2+0.218 · 3-0 strike called ball
    Christian Walker vs Ben Peoples
  3. 3-0.193 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Jose Altuve vs Kumar Rocker

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Elias Díaz — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Elias Díaz — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Christian Vázquez — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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